Cerro Largo 3-0 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.00/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.90
-13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-1 HT 3-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
22.10.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
19.03.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-3 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
16.09.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
09.04.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
29.03.2021 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo swept aside Defensor Sporting 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Cerro Largo made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.33 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?

Cerro Largo 3-0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 33%, draw 29%, Defensor Sporting 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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