Danubio 0-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
48%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
13%
+13.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-18.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 70%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
0.77/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.80
-4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
210 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Danubio Danubio 0-6 HT 0-3 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
26.05.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
16.11.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-3 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
09.04.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
24.10.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
05.06.2022 Danubio Danubio 2-1 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
0-0
AWAY Nacional de Football
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio and Nacional de Football played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional de Football at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Danubio had 44% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 56%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Danubio and 1.83 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Nacional de Football?

Danubio 0-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Danubio 26%, draw 26%, Nacional de Football 48%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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