Danubio vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Danubio v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Danubio vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Danubio
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
2-0
HT 2-0
Danubio
URU
2-1
HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
URU
2-1
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
Danubio 0-6 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football swept aside Danubio 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Danubio had 47% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 53%, shots finished 4-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Danubio and 1.00 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Danubio vs Nacional de Football?
Danubio 0-6 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Danubio vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Danubio 27%, draw 24%, Nacional de Football 49%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.