Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.12/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.05
-3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
27.08.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
22.07.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
12.02.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1-1
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maldonado and Racing Club Montevideo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 36% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 64%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.00 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 34%, draw 28%, Racing Club Montevideo 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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