Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 May 2024

Racing Club Montevideo
0-1 HT 0-0
Deportivo Maldonado
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Racing Club Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club Montevideo v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.52/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.72
+19% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Racing Club Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
22.07.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
12.02.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU

Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maldonado edged past Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Maldonado found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 39%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.67 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 40%, draw 30%, Deportivo Maldonado 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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