Cerro 2-0 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.8pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.09/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.27
-10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Danubio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
12.03.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
18.11.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
22.02.2021 Danubio Danubio 2-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
30.08.2020 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
19.04.2015 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
2-0
AWAY Danubio
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Cerro vs Danubio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cerro beat Danubio 2-0 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11 May 2024.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 41%.

On the day, Cerro had 42% of the ball to Danubio's 58%, shots finished 8-7.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro and 1.17 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Danubio?

Cerro 2-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerro 40%, draw 26%, Danubio 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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