Nacional de Football 1-4 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Stats & Model Review (Uruguay - Premier League, 11 May 2024)

Nacional de Football

1-4 HT 0-4

Centro Atletico Fenix

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗

Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Nacional de Football vs Centro Atletico Fenix Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

49%

1.49

Draw

27%

3.94

Away

24%

5.27

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

1.8

Over 2.5

47%

1.91

Both Teams to Score

Yes

46%

2.06

54%

1.68

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

32%

2-3 Goals

35%

4-5 Goals

24%

6+ Goals

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

18%

1/2

1/X

X/1

23%

X/2

11%

X/X

12%

2/1

2/2

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

49%

Home Win

62%

-13.8pp

27%

Draw

22%

+5.5pp

24%

Away Win

16%

+8.1pp

53%

Under 2.5

52%

+1.4pp

47%

Over 2.5

48%

-1.4pp

46%

BTTS Yes

44%

+1.3pp

54%

BTTS No

56%

-1.3pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional de Football v Centro Atletico Fenix — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 67%

Head to Head

AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 19%

-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +23%

2.00/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.32

+13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +22%

57% Ball Possession 43%

15 Total Shots 9

7 Shots on Target 4

6 Corners 3

329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

3.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Nacional de Football vs Centro Atletico Fenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Nacional de Football

3W-2D-1L

AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix

1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67

60% Ball Possession 40%

12 Total Shots 9

6 Shots on Target 4

5 Corners 5

3 Yellow Cards 3

The Meetings

20.11.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix

1-1 HT 0-1

Nacional de Football URU

16.07.2023 Nacional de Football

0-1 HT 0-0

Centro Atletico Fenix URU

15.04.2023 Nacional de Football

4-0 HT 3-0

Centro Atletico Fenix URU

02.10.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix

1-1 HT 0-0

Nacional de Football URU

10.05.2022 Nacional de Football

1-0 HT 1-0

Centro Atletico Fenix URU

10.10.2021 Centro Atletico Fenix

1-2 HT 1-1

Nacional de Football URU

Nacional de Football 1-4 Centro Atletico Fenix — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Nacional de Football

1-4

AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix

64% Ball Possession 36%

12 Total Shots 16

9 Shots on Target 8

10 Corners 4

3 Yellow Cards 2

FAQ Nacional de Football vs Centro Atletico Fenix

Match summary & frequently asked questions

Centro Atletico Fenix ran out comfortable winners over Nacional de Football 4-1 away from home in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11 May 2024. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 64% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 36%, shots finished 12-16.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.67 for Centro Atletico Fenix.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Nacional de Football 1-4 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 49%, draw 27%, Centro Atletico Fenix 24%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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Nacional de Football 1-4 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 May 2024

Nacional de Football vs Centro Atletico Fenix Prediction — Model Probabilities

Nacional de Football v Centro Atletico Fenix — Team-Based Signals

Nacional de Football vs Centro Atletico Fenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

Nacional de Football 1-4 Centro Atletico Fenix — Actual Match Statistics

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Centro Atletico Fenix?