Chemnitzer FC 1-1 BFC Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.68/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.78
-6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY BFC Dynamo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-1 HT 2-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
14.09.2024 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.03.2024 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-3 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-4 HT 0-2 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
10.02.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
19.08.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC and BFC Dynamo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chemnitzer FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 1.00 for BFC Dynamo.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Dynamo?

Chemnitzer FC 1-1 BFC Dynamo in the Germany - Regional League on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs BFC Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 54%, draw 25%, BFC Dynamo 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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