BFC Dynamo 1-3 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.8pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.97/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.65
+1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Dynamo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
30.09.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-4 HT 0-2 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
10.02.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
19.08.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
02.04.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-3 HT 0-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
24.09.2021 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-1 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
23.09.2020 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-1 HT 0-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Dynamo
1-3
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC got the better of BFC Dynamo 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was BFC Dynamo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BFC Dynamo had 54% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC's 46%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for BFC Dynamo and 0.50 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC?

BFC Dynamo 1-3 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split BFC Dynamo 44%, draw 32%, Chemnitzer FC 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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