Rödinghausen 5-1 Wegberg-Beeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-10.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
2.06/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.92
-14% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rödinghausen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 4-1 HT 4-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 1-1 HT 0-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
10.03.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-1 HT 0-1 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
23.09.2020 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 0-2 HT 0-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
12.12.2015 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 6-1 HT 3-0 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rödinghausen
5-1
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 6
15 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rödinghausen vs Wegberg-Beeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rödinghausen swept aside Wegberg-Beeck 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rödinghausen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Rödinghausen had 61% of the ball to Wegberg-Beeck's 39%, shots finished 25-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rödinghausen and 1.33 for Wegberg-Beeck.

What was the final score of Rödinghausen vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Rödinghausen 5-1 Wegberg-Beeck in the Germany - Regional League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rödinghausen vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rödinghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rödinghausen 57%, draw 22%, Wegberg-Beeck 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rödinghausen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rödinghausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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