Kilia Kiel 1-1 Spelle-Venhaus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilia Kiel EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Spelle-Venhaus EU Bookmakers 30%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.03
+10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +65%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilia Kiel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spelle-Venhaus
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Spelle-Venhaus 2-0 HT 1-0 Kilia Kiel ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilia Kiel
1-1
AWAY Spelle-Venhaus
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kilia Kiel vs Spelle-Venhaus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilia Kiel and Spelle-Venhaus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Kilia Kiel carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kilia Kiel had 58% of the ball to Spelle-Venhaus's 42%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Kilia Kiel vs Spelle-Venhaus?

Kilia Kiel 1-1 Spelle-Venhaus in the Germany - Regional League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilia Kiel vs Spelle-Venhaus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilia Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kilia Kiel 55%, draw 22%, Spelle-Venhaus 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kilia Kiel), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilia Kiel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
16 Mar 2024
15:00 Eilenburg vs Hansa Rostock II Analysis →
15:00 Hannover 96 II vs Teutonia Hamburg Analysis →
15:00 Phönix Lübeck vs Havelse Analysis →
15:00 BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC Analysis →
16:00 Rödinghausen vs Wegberg-Beeck Analysis →
16:00 Wuppertaler SV vs Velbert Analysis →