Phönix Lübeck 4-1 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.1pp
34%
Draw
24%
+9.9pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.41/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.77
-28% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Havelse
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Havelse Havelse 1-2 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-0 HT 2-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
04.09.2022 Havelse Havelse 2-2 HT 0-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck cruised past Havelse 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.00 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Havelse?

Phönix Lübeck 4-1 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 44%, draw 34%, Havelse 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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