Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-1 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Nov 2025

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
3-1 HT 2-0
Carl Zeiss Jena
📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Carl Zeiss Jena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
48%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.5pp
49%
Away Win
39%
+9.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Carl Zeiss Jena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.66/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.27
+12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Carl Zeiss Jena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.04.2025 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-1 HT 3-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
04.09.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 5-1 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
16.03.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
01.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 2-2 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt beat Carl Zeiss Jena 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Carl Zeiss Jena at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 2.17 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-1 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 31%, draw 21%, Carl Zeiss Jena 49%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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