Hillerod 1-0 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.97
1/2
11%
24.45
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
17%
7.15
X/2
17%
5.08
X/X
14%
4.98
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
15%
2.92
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +22%
1.28/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.13
+2% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +76%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
13.9 Crosses 14.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lyngby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
365 Passes 555
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2025 Lyngby Lyngby 1-2 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
10.07.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 0-3 Hillerod Hillerod HAZ
06.09.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-2 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
1-0
AWAY Lyngby
0.38 xG 0.64
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
257 Passes 532
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod squeezed past Lyngby 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lyngby at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hillerod had 36% of the ball to Lyngby's 64%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.38 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hillerod had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hillerod and 1.00 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Lyngby?

Hillerod 1-0 Lyngby in the Denmark 1st Division on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 32%, draw 25%, Lyngby 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyngby), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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