Bhayangkara United 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
27%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bhayangkara United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +10%
1.55/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.96
+15% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bhayangkara United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.02.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
08.08.2023 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 1-2 HT 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
23.01.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 1-1 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
07.08.2022 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 1-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
18.01.2022 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 2-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
24.09.2021 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-1 HT 0-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bhayangkara United vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bhayangkara United and Persebaya Surabaya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bhayangkara United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bhayangkara United and 1.00 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Bhayangkara United vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Bhayangkara United 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bhayangkara United vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bhayangkara United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bhayangkara United 46%, draw 28%, Persebaya Surabaya 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bhayangkara United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bhayangkara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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