Concarneau 1-0 Stade Briochin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.6pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Briochin EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Stade Briochin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 3-3 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FRK
17.03.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
12.10.2022 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 1-2 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
22.04.2022 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 1-3 HT 1-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
05.12.2021 Concarneau Concarneau 3-0 HT 2-0 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
15.01.2021 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 0-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
1-0
AWAY Stade Briochin
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Stade Briochin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau edged past Stade Briochin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Concarneau as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Concarneau had 43% of the ball to Stade Briochin's 57%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Concarneau had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Concarneau and 0.83 for Stade Briochin.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Stade Briochin?

Concarneau 1-0 Stade Briochin in the France - Cup on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Stade Briochin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 49%, draw 24%, Stade Briochin 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Concarneau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Concarneau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK More France - Cup
28 Nov 2025
22:00 Annecy vs Grenoble Analysis →
22:00 Sarreguemines vs Nancy Analysis →