Sarreguemines 3-4 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.6pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarreguemines EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -37%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarreguemines
3-4
AWAY Nancy
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 21
13 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sarreguemines vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy squeezed past Sarreguemines 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Sarreguemines had 44% of the ball to Nancy's 56%, shots finished 22-21.

What was the final score of Sarreguemines vs Nancy?

Sarreguemines 3-4 Nancy in the France - Cup on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarreguemines vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sarreguemines 21%, draw 23%, Nancy 56%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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