Avustralya (K) 5-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
8%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.91
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
33%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
74%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.2pp
8%
Away Win
9%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.86/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/2.59
+3% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -86% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
407 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 84%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.4
19.5 Crosses 9.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.84 xG 0.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
490 Passes 195
82% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 4
32 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2021 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) Yeni Zelanda (K) OLİ
28.02.2019 Avustralya (K) Avustralya (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) Yeni Zelanda (K) FFA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya (K)
5-0
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K)
4.52 xG 1.18
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 12
14 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
469 Passes 202
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avustralya (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya (K) swept aside Yeni Zelanda (K) 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Avustralya (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Avustralya (K) had 66% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda (K)'s 34%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 4.52 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avustralya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avustralya (K) and 0.50 for Yeni Zelanda (K).

What was the final score of Avustralya (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)?

Avustralya (K) 5-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) in the Friendlies on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Avustralya (K) 71%, draw 22%, Yeni Zelanda (K) 8%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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