Real Esteli 2-1 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
74%
-1.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.3pp
9%
Away Win
9%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
2.21/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.88
-9% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
25.08.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
10.03.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
23.01.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
15.12.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
09.12.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-4 HT 1-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli nicked a narrow win over Walter Ferretti 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Esteli and 0.33 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Walter Ferretti?

Real Esteli 2-1 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 72%, draw 19%, Walter Ferretti 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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