Walter Ferretti 1-4 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.20/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.33
-3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
236 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.04.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
25.02.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-0 HT 2-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
06.11.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
31.08.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
03.04.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-2 HT 1-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
1-4
AWAY Real Esteli
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli swept aside Walter Ferretti 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 43% of the ball to Real Esteli's 57%, shots finished 6-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.50 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli?

Walter Ferretti 1-4 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 31%, draw 26%, Real Esteli 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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