Walter Ferretti 1-2 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-9.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.43/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.53
+18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
25.02.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-0 HT 2-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
06.11.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
31.08.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
03.04.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-2 HT 1-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
09.02.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
1-2
AWAY Real Esteli
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli squeezed past Walter Ferretti 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Real Esteli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 44% of the ball to Real Esteli's 56%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.33 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli?

Walter Ferretti 1-2 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 36%, draw 27%, Real Esteli 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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