Managua 3-1 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+11.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
2.49/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.77
+26% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Export Sebaco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Managua Managua 1-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
05.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-3 HT 0-1 Managua Managua NİK
09.10.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
13.08.2023 Managua Managua 3-4 HT 1-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
17.04.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
11.03.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 4-3 HT 3-1 Managua Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Managua vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua got the better of Export Sebaco 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Managua as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Managua and 2.17 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Managua 3-1 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Managua 50%, draw 23%, Export Sebaco 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Managua) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Managua) ✗ BTTS No
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