Managua 1-1 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +24%
2.48/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.24
+47% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Export Sebaco
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-3 HT 0-1 Managua Managua NİK
09.10.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
13.08.2023 Managua Managua 3-4 HT 1-2 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
17.04.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
11.03.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 4-3 HT 3-1 Managua Managua NİK
20.02.2023 Managua Managua 2-2 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
1-1
AWAY Export Sebaco
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Managua vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Managua and Export Sebaco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Managua at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Managua had 59% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 41%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Managua and 2.33 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Managua 1-1 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Managua 47%, draw 27%, Export Sebaco 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Managua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Managua) ✓ BTTS Yes
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