Orgánica Masachapa 2-1 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.34/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/2.04
-3% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
0W-0D-3L
AWAY UNAN Managua
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-2 HT 1-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
08.10.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 4-1 HT 2-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
13.08.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 1-4 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
2-1
AWAY UNAN Managua
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orgánica Masachapa vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orgánica Masachapa squeezed past UNAN Managua 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Orgánica Masachapa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Orgánica Masachapa had 43% of the ball to UNAN Managua's 57%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, UNAN Managua led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orgánica Masachapa and 3.67 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Orgánica Masachapa vs UNAN Managua?

Orgánica Masachapa 2-1 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orgánica Masachapa vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated an UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Orgánica Masachapa 37%, draw 21%, UNAN Managua 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✗ BTTS No
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