Matagalpa 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.24/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.44
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
18.04.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
25.02.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
05.11.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-0 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
01.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
05.04.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
13.02.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa and Deportivo Ocotal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Matagalpa and 1.33 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Matagalpa 1-1 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 35%, draw 29%, Deportivo Ocotal 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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