Matagalpa 2-1 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 46%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.59/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/2.00
+17% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
25.02.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-2 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
05.11.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-0 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
01.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
05.04.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
13.02.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
28.10.2022 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa edged past Deportivo Ocotal 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Ocotal at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Matagalpa and 1.17 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Matagalpa 2-1 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Ocotal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 32%, draw 27%, Deportivo Ocotal 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Ocotal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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