Orgánica Masachapa 2-3 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 18 Apr 2024

📅18/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 62%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
177 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Jalapa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
05.11.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 3-2 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
31.08.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
POST-MATCH Orgánica Masachapa vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa edged past Orgánica Masachapa 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jalapa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orgánica Masachapa and 1.67 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Orgánica Masachapa vs Jalapa?

Orgánica Masachapa 2-3 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 18/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orgánica Masachapa vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orgánica Masachapa 27%, draw 27%, Jalapa 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
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