Bahreyn 1-2 Yemen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Körfez Cup, 28 Dec 2024

Bahreyn
1-2 HT 0-1
Yemen
📅28/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Körfez Cup – 2024

Bahreyn vs Yemen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.65
6+ Goals
7%
15.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.65 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahreyn v Yemen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Yemen EU Bookmakers 22%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 72%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards –

Bahreyn vs Yemen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahreyn
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Yemen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.06.2024 Bahreyn Bahreyn 0-0 HT 0-0 Yemen Yemen DKE
16.11.2023 Yemen Yemen 0-2 HT 0-1 Bahreyn Bahreyn DKE
19.11.2013 Bahreyn Bahreyn 2-0 HT 1-0 Yemen Yemen ASKE
06.02.2013 Yemen Yemen 0-2 HT 0-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASKE
20.01.2010 Yemen Yemen 3-0 HT 2-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
18.11.2009 Bahreyn Bahreyn 4-0 HT 2-0 Yemen Yemen ASK

Bahreyn 1-2 Yemen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahreyn
1-2
AWAY Yemen
0.75 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
291 Passes 311
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bahreyn vs Yemen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yemen edged past Bahreyn 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Bahreyn carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bahreyn had 50% of the ball to Yemen's 50%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.75 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahreyn had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bahreyn and 0.50 for Yemen.

What was the final score of Bahreyn vs Yemen?

Bahreyn 1-2 Yemen in the Körfez Cup on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahreyn vs Yemen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahreyn win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bahreyn 59%, draw 22%, Yemen 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bahreyn), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahreyn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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