Irak 1-3 Suudi Arabistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Körfez Cup, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.56
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Suudi Arabistan EU Bookmakers 42%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.31/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.57
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
20.0 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Suudi Arabistan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 0.63
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
191 Passes 349
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.01.2023 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 0-2 HT 0-1 Irak Irak AKK
15.10.2018 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 1-1 HT 0-0 Irak Irak HAZ
28.03.2017 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Irak Irak DKE
06.09.2016 Irak Irak 1-2 HT 1-0 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan DKE
15.11.2013 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 2-1 HT 1-1 Irak Irak ASKE
15.10.2013 Irak Irak 0-2 HT 0-1 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan ASKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak
1-3
AWAY Suudi Arabistan
0.61 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
193 Passes 241
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Irak vs Suudi Arabistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suudi Arabistan saw off Irak 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Suudi Arabistan made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Irak had 47% of the ball to Suudi Arabistan's 53%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.61 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suudi Arabistan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Irak and 1.33 for Suudi Arabistan.

What was the final score of Irak vs Suudi Arabistan?

Irak 1-3 Suudi Arabistan in the Körfez Cup on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak vs Suudi Arabistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suudi Arabistan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Irak 32%, draw 31%, Suudi Arabistan 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suudi Arabistan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suudi Arabistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AKK More Körfez Cup
28 Dec 2024
17:30 Bahreyn vs Yemen Analysis →