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Melbourne City (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne City (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne City (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Melbourne City (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City (K) nicked a narrow win over Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 69% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 31%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.64 to 1.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wellington Phoenix (K).
What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Melbourne City (K) 2-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 56%, draw 20%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.