Sydney (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 28 Dec 2024

Sydney (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅28/12/2024 · 🕒08:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.53
No
57%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
61%
-18.3pp
57%
BTTS No
39%
+18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.79/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.15
-25% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +52%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.0 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.43 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 272
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
26.01.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
27.01.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-2 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
25.11.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
26.01.2018 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
0-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.74 xG 1.07
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
246 Passes 369
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) squeezed past Sydney (K) 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 42% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 58%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.74 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.83 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Sydney (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 34%, draw 21%, Melbourne Victory (K) 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
28 Dec 2024
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