Sydney (K) 0-4 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 31 Mar 2024

Sydney (K)
0-4 HT 0-2
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.5 Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards –

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.61 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 264
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.01.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
27.01.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-2 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
25.11.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
26.01.2018 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 0-4 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
0-4
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.72 xG 2.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
236 Passes 313
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sydney (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 44% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 56%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.72 to 2.32.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.40 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Sydney (K) 0-4 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 48%, draw 25%, Melbourne Victory (K) 27%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sydney (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
31 Mar 2024
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