Bali United 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.67
No
46%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bali United The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.63 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
Weak Attack Strength Great
Strong Defense Strength Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
341 Passes 345
24.04.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-2 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
02.09.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
25.03.2022 Bali United Bali United 0-3 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
05.01.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-1 HT 1-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
24.09.2019 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bali United
2 - 0
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bali United put daylight between themselves and Persebaya Surabaya 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Bali United had 51% of the ball to Persebaya Surabaya's 49%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bali United and 1.40 for Persebaya Surabaya.

Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya Result & Final Score

Bali United 2 - 0 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bali United 42%, draw 29%, Persebaya Surabaya 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
28 Dec 2024
11:30 PSBS Biak Numfor vs Dewa United Analysis →
11:30 Malut United vs Persija Jakarta Analysis →