Wydad Casablanca 1-4 Maghreb Fes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.3pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wydad Casablanca EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.88/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.32
+30% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wydad Casablanca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Maghreb Fes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.08.2024 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
28.04.2024 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-1 HT 0-1 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
11.01.2024 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 1-1 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
17.12.2023 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
23.06.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-2 HT 0-1 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
25.01.2023 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wydad Casablanca
1-4
AWAY Maghreb Fes
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wydad Casablanca vs Maghreb Fes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maghreb Fes swept aside Wydad Casablanca 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wydad Casablanca at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wydad Casablanca had 54% of the ball to Maghreb Fes's 46%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wydad Casablanca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wydad Casablanca and 0.50 for Maghreb Fes.

What was the final score of Wydad Casablanca vs Maghreb Fes?

Wydad Casablanca 1-4 Maghreb Fes in the Morocco - League on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wydad Casablanca vs Maghreb Fes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wydad Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wydad Casablanca 47%, draw 31%, Maghreb Fes 22%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wydad Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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