Irak vs Ürdün Prediction — Model Probabilities
Irak v Ürdün — Team-Based Signals
Irak vs Ürdün Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Irak 2-3 Ürdün — Actual Match Statistics
Ürdün came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Irak 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
Our pre-match lean was Irak at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in Irak's favour, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.86 to 2.24 — on chances created, Ürdün won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Irak had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.75 a game for Irak against 1.00 for Ürdün.
Irak vs Ürdün Result & Final Score
Irak 2 - 3 Ürdün in the Asian Cup on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Irak vs Ürdün Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Irak 46%, draw 32%, Ürdün 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.