Katar 2-1 Filistin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.05
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
18.55
X/1
26%
3.38
X/2
4%
11.2
X/X
17%
4.33
2/1
3%
29.5
2/2
8%
10.55
2/X
6%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Filistin EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Filistin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.09.2018 Katar Katar 3-0 HT 3-0 Filistin Filistin HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar
2-1
AWAY Filistin
1.17 xG 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
377 Passes 206
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katar vs Filistin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar squeezed past Filistin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Katar as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Katar had 59% of the ball to Filistin's 41%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.17 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Katar vs Filistin?

Katar 2-1 Filistin in the Asian Cup on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar vs Filistin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Katar 56%, draw 29%, Filistin 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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