Aurora 1-1 Peten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.95
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over Pick
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
37%
4-5
29%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
9%
+12.5pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.2pp
60%
Away Win
78%
-18.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Peten The Market 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Peten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora and Peten couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Peten carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Peten?

Aurora 1-1 Peten in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Peten?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peten win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aurora 22%, draw 19%, Peten 60%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAP More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
29 Jan 2024
00:00 Juventud Copalera vs Democracia Analysis →