Benfica II 0-1 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.52/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.28
+14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses 21.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.17 xG 1.39
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
520 Passes 217
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 3-1 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
0-1
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.95 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
416 Passes 296
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria nicked a narrow win over Benfica II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Uniao De Leiria found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Benfica II had 57% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 43%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 0.95 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Uniao De Leiria?

Benfica II 0-1 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 40%, draw 27%, Uniao De Leiria 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benfica II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Under 2.5
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