Sporting CP 8-0 Casa Pia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.3
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
33.0
X/1
20%
3.26
X/2
4%
32.0
X/X
10%
9.51
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
5%
26.5
2/X
5%
33.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.1pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.4pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.27/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.73
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +18%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
485 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
24.9 Crosses 8.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Casa Pia
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.23 xG 0.82
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
556 Passes 259
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
09.04.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 3-4 HT 2-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
22.10.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 0-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
22.12.2021 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
8-0
AWAY Casa Pia
4.53 xG 0.27
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
590 Passes 173
91% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 4
14 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Casa Pia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP cruised past Casa Pia 8-0. Half-time: 5-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP had 74% of the ball to Casa Pia's 26%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 4.53 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Sporting CP and 1.50 for Casa Pia.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Casa Pia?

Sporting CP 8-0 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Casa Pia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 65%, draw 21%, Casa Pia 14%. The final score 8-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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