Western United 2-2 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 29 Jan 2025

Western United
2-2 HT 1-2
Central Coast Mariners
📅29/01/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Western United vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.42
X/2
14%
8.61
X/X
8%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.1
2/2
12%
6.47
2/X
9%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-10.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
1.69/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.58
-13% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
24.6 Crosses 14.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Western United vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.86 xG 2.32
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
371 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Western United Western United 0-2 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
08.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-0 HT 3-0 Western United Western United AVUS
07.04.2023 Western United Western United 0-3 HT 0-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
29.10.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-2 HT 0-2 Western United Western United AVUS
30.04.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-0 HT 0-0 Western United Western United AVUS
02.04.2022 Western United Western United 2-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Western United 2-2 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United
2-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.18 xG 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
565 Passes 296
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Western United vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United and Central Coast Mariners couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Western United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Western United had 64% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 36%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.18 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Western United and 2.67 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Western United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Western United 2-2 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Western United 42%, draw 25%, Central Coast Mariners 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →