Western United 0-2 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 13 Apr 2024

Western United
0-2 HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western United vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.36
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.97
1/2
5%
22.3
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
11%
7.41
X/2
13%
4.66
X/X
5%
5.48
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
29%
2.62
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.76/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.13
-9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +90%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
21.0 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Western United vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.92 xG 2.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
394 Passes 349
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-0 HT 3-0 Western United Western United AVUS
07.04.2023 Western United Western United 0-3 HT 0-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
29.10.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-2 HT 0-2 Western United Western United AVUS
30.04.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-0 HT 0-0 Western United Western United AVUS
02.04.2022 Western United Western United 2-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
05.06.2021 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-0 HT 1-0 Western United Western United AVUS

Western United 0-2 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United
0-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.03 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 501
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Western United vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners beat Western United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Central Coast Mariners as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Western United had 46% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 54%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.03 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Western United and 2.67 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Western United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Western United 0-2 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Western United 31%, draw 22%, Central Coast Mariners 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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