Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
4-0
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
2-0
HT 0-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets saw off Brisbane Roar 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 64% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 36%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.62 to 0.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brisbane Roar.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brisbane Roar and 1.50 for Newcastle Jets.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?
Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 49%, draw 21%, Newcastle Jets 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.