Sydney 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 13 Apr 2024

Sydney
2-1 HT 0-0
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.59
2-3 Goals
43%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.32
X/2
11%
9.78
X/X
8%
6.41
2/1
5%
19.7
2/2
9%
6.4
2/X
8%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
55%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.95/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.78
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.8 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.62 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
350 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-4 HT 0-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
25.11.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.05.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
18.03.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-4 HT 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
11.02.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
12.11.2022 Sydney Sydney 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS

Sydney 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
2-1
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.87 xG 1.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
402 Passes 241
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney squeezed past Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sydney had 59% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 41%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.87 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sydney and 1.33 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Sydney 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sydney 50%, draw 23%, Western Sydney Wanderers 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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