Western Sydney Wanderers 1-4 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.85
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
11%
6.38
X/2
13%
5.46
X/X
9%
5.6
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.1
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.74/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.37
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
19.4 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sydney
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
365 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.05.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
18.03.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-4 HT 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
11.02.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
12.11.2022 Sydney Sydney 0-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
02.04.2022 Sydney Sydney 3-2 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
1-4
AWAY Sydney
0.57 xG 3.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
354 Passes 219
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney ran out comfortable winners over Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Sydney made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 57% of the ball to Sydney's 43%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.57 to 3.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.00 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney?

Western Sydney Wanderers 1-4 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 37%, draw 26%, Sydney 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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