Prachuap 1-2 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Jan 2025

Prachuap
1-2 HT 1-0
Buriram United
📅29/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Prachuap vs Buriram United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
60%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
26%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+6.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
60%
Away Win
66%
-6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Prachuap v Buriram United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prachuap EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 70%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
0.66/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.78
-20% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +67%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
222 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 85%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
16.9 Crosses 20.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Prachuap vs Buriram United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prachuap
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Buriram United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.69 xG 1.87
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
206 Passes 348
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 6-0 HT 2-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
06.04.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 1-0 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
26.02.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 0-1 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
02.10.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 3-1 HT 3-1 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
06.02.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-2 HT 1-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
02.10.2021 Prachuap Prachuap 0-2 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY

Prachuap 1-2 Buriram United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Prachuap
1-2
AWAY Buriram United
0.16 xG 1.74
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
185 Passes 525
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Prachuap vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United squeezed past Prachuap 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Prachuap had 30% of the ball to Buriram United's 70%, shots finished 4-17, expected goals 0.16 to 1.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Buriram United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Prachuap and 2.33 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Prachuap vs Buriram United?

Prachuap 1-2 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prachuap vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Prachuap 21%, draw 19%, Buriram United 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ BTTS No
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