Aguila 4-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+2.8pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
2.02/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.58
+14% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Platense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
22.09.2025 Platense Platense 2-1 HT 2-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
21.07.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
24.03.2025 Platense Platense 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.01.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
27.10.2024 Aguila Aguila 2-2 Platense Platense ELSAL
26.08.2024 Platense Platense 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila cruised past Platense 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aguila and 0.83 for Platense.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Platense?

Aguila 4-1 Platense in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Aguila 64%, draw 19%, Platense 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Over 2.5
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ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
29 Jan 2026
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