Platense 0-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 53%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +23%
0.92/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.74
-22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +58%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
211 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguila
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.05.2024 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.03.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
19.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 4-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
16.09.2023 Platense Platense 2-3 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
20.03.2023 Platense Platense 0-3 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
28.04.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Platense vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over Platense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Platense and 1.83 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Platense vs Aguila?

Platense 0-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Platense 28%, draw 29%, Aguila 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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