Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.3pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 17%
-82% / -82% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1W-2D-0L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULSK
28.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
24.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad got the better of CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 57% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 43%, shots finished 24-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 1.33 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - Cup on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 54%, draw 20%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad)
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