Nashville SC 4-0 Moca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.11
Draw
22%
12.6
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
5.0
Over
59%
1.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
37%
4-5
30%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Nashville SC win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
66%
Home Win
87%
-21.2pp
22%
Draw
6%
+15.6pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
17%
+23.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
83%
-23.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.1pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Moca The Market 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
520 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Moca
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.20 xG 0.31
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
441 Passes 286
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 3
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.02.2024 Moca Moca 0-3 HT 0-2 Nashville SC Nashville SC CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
4-0
AWAY Moca
3.60 xG 0.06
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
593 Passes 197
93% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 3
32 Crosses 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Moca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC swept aside Moca 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nashville SC had 72% of the ball to Moca's 28%, shots finished 20-1, expected goals 3.60 to 0.06.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Moca?

Nashville SC 4-0 Moca in the CONCACAF Champions League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Moca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 66%, draw 22%, Moca 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →