Odisha FC 2-1 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
2.00/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.32
+59% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
14.8 Crosses 13.4
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY East Bengal
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.45 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
361 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 3-2 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HINSK
22.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
07.01.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 3-1 HT 2-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
18.11.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 2-4 HT 2-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
07.02.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
30.11.2021 Odisha FC Odisha FC 6-4 HT 3-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
2-1
AWAY East Bengal
2.15 xG 0.55
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
417 Passes 239
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC nicked a narrow win over East Bengal 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Odisha FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Odisha FC had 61% of the ball to East Bengal's 39%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.15 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Odisha FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odisha FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Odisha FC and 1.83 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs East Bengal?

Odisha FC 2-1 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 54%, draw 23%, East Bengal 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odisha FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →